Variable Rate Beats BOTH 3-year & 5-year Fixed Terms
The Variable is the best way to go right now and this blue link has all the details in PDF: VARIABLE RATE beats both 3-year fixed & 5-year fixed terms
Data point 1: Variable rates should be coming down 2% in the next 13.5 months, with a “jumbo reduction” of 0.5% (1/2%) expected on Wednesday, Oct 23rd – by 5 of the 6 Big Banks.
New Canadian Mortgage Rules; Sept 2024
Typical income documentation requirements – Canadian mortgage
Below are the typical income documentation requirements for each type of income.
Salaried employees & commission income
Salaried
Salaried and hourly employees may need to supply:
- A job letter and a recent pay stub to show consistent salary
If your hours aren’t guaranteed or if there is a lot of overtime, you may also be asked for a 2-year income history.
Commissioned
Commissioned salespeople typically need the same documents as a salaried employee except they may also need to provide:
- 2 years of T1 Generals with corresponding NOA’s – Notice of Assessments to establish a 2-year income average.
Self-employed: Incorporated & Sole Proprietor
Incorporated
Self-employed clients who are incorporated and can provide traditional income verification may need to supply:
- Most current T1 General including statements of business activities. To establish a stable income, but also so a lender can see your sources of income.
- Confirmation of no taxes owed
- Accountant prepared company financials supported by business bank statements. To establish your company is in good financial standing and to compare the income level being pulled out of the company is sustainable.
- Current corporate search to confirm business ownership.
Sole Proprietor
Self-employed clients who are sole proprietors and can provide traditional income verification may need to supply:
- Most current T1 General including statements of business activities. To establish a stable income, and so a lender can see their sources of income.
- Confirmation no taxes owed
- One of the following: Business license/registration, trade license, or GST registrations/returns to prove business ownership/partnership
Alternative provable income & other documentation
Alternative provable income verification
This is a proprietary, specialized approach using gross-ups and add-backs available.
Alternative verification of income can be provided via the following documents:
Sole proprietor/partnership
- Most current T1 General
- Confirmation no taxes owed
- Recent financial statements or statement of business activities to indicate a level of income
- One of the following: business license/registration, trade license, or GST registrations/returns to prove business ownership/partnership
Incorporated or limited company
- Most current accountant prepared financials or corporate T2s
- Most current T1 General and confirmation no taxes owed
- Corporate search/articles of incorporation – for business ownership
- Six months of bank statements
Gross-ups and add-backs approach is considered in this instance.
Other documentation
There are other income sources that can help your client’s application get approved.
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- Canada Child Benefit (CCB)
- Alimony/child support
- Government and/or private pension
- Rental property income
- EI benefit for maternity leave
Buying a Rental property — this is the income documentation needed.
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Prime to be 2% LOWER in 15 months, Dates of drops, Variable rate wins: Fall 2024
Why the Variable rate is better than both the 3-year fixed and 5-year fixed, from a mortgage broker with 22 years of experience.
Canadian Prime Rate Drops to 4.5%
Horray – the rates are dropping.
We expect to see a total of 2 MORE rate reductions of 0.25% each in 2024.
5 x o.25% reductions are expected in 2025 making the variable the better way to go right now.
Mortgage Mark Herman
DATA
Encouraged by underling trends in the Canadian economy, the Bank of Canada today cut its overnight policy interest rate by 0.25% to 4.50%.
This is the second incremental reduction we’ve seen in as many months and while both cuts have been modest, they are moving Canada toward less restrictive monetary policy.
We summarize the Bank’s rationale for this decision by summarizing its observations below, including its forward-looking comments for signs of what may happen next.
Canadian inflation including shelter inflation
Prime now 6.95% from 7.20%: BoC reduces its benchmark interest rate to 4.75%
SUMMARY:
The “overnight rate” being quoted is the rate that Banks borrow from each other at, not consumer Prime, which is confusing.
Canadian Consumer Prime has just been reduced from 7.20% to 6.95% – this only affects Variable Rate mortgages.
Fixed rates remain unchanged because they track the Canadian Mortgage Bond Rates which are different, and similar.
There has also been about 40 “silent” fixed rate reductions of o.o5% each in 2024 that the press did not cover.
Mortgage Mark Herman, Top best Calgary Alberta mortgage broker specializing in 1st time buyers
Below we examine the Bank’s rationale for this move by summarizing its observations below, including its all-important outlook comments that are sure to shape market expectations for the remainder of the year.
Canadian inflation
GIFTed down Payment now possible for New-to-Canada home buyers!!
That’s right! As of now, May 23, 2024, buyers who are New to Canada – in Canada for less than 2 years – ARE now allowed to use /receive GIFTS for down payment from “close family members.”
This is a big deal because it now includes; aunts, uncles, nephews, and cousins; all were not allowed to provide a “GIFT for down payment” before.
The standard used to be only: mother, father, brother, sister, grandparent and legal guardian; and that was it.
From our data that we have on on our own customers, this will help about 20% of our New to Canada files to buy a home, where they would have been shut out before.
Mortgage Mark Herman, top best fantastic Calgary Alberta mortgage broker, specializing in First Time Buyers.
Current Risks to the Canadian Mortgage Market? May 15th, 2024
May 21, 2024 is when the inflation a report comes out and it should be the determining factor if the Canadian PRIME RATE of INTEREST is reduced from 7.2% in June or not. Maybe July. Maybe later.
Divorce & Mortgage Buy-Out Details, Canada, May 2024
“Buying the ex-spouse out” of a divorce,
Bank of Canada Leaves Prime the Same, April 2024
As Expected, No change in Bank of Canada benchmark interest rate for April 2024.
As noted in August 2023, the 1st Prime Rate reduction is expected in July and then Prime should come down at o.25% every 90 days so … 1 quarter percent reduction, every calandar quarter, for the next 2 years.
Mortgage Mark Herman, best top Calgary Alberta mortgage broker.
Today, the Bank of Canada announced it is keeping its benchmark interest rate at 5.0%, unchanged from July of 2023. However, much has changed in the economy and in the world since then. For evidence, we parsed today’s announcement and present a summary of the Bank’s key observations below.
Canadian Inflation
- CPI inflation slowed to 2.8% in February, with easing in price pressures becoming more broad-based across goods and services. However, shelter price inflation is still very elevated, driven by growth in rent and mortgage interest costs
- Core measures of inflation, which had been running around 3.5%, slowed to just over 3% in February, and 3-month annualized rates are suggesting downward momentum
- The Bank expects CPI inflation to be close to 3% during the first half of 2024, move below 2.5% in the second half, and reach the 2% inflation target in 2025
Canadian Economic Performance and Housing
- Economic growth stalled in the second half of last year and the economy moved into excess supply
- A broad range of indicators suggest that labour market conditions continue to ease. Employment has been growing more slowly than the working-age population and the unemployment rate has risen gradually, reaching 6.1% in March. There are some recent signs that wage pressures are moderating
- Economic growth is forecast to pick up in 2024. This largely reflects both strong population growth and a recovery in spending by households
- Residential investment is strengthening, responding to continued robust demand for housing
- The contribution to growth from spending by governments has also increased. Business investment is projected to recover gradually after considerable weakness in the second half of last year. The Bank expects exports to continue to grow solidly through 2024
- Overall, the Bank forecasts GDP growth of 1.5% in 2024, 2.2% in 2025, and 1.9% in 2026. The strengthening economy will gradually absorb excess supply through 2025 and into 2026
Global Economic Performance and Bond Yields
- The Bank expects the global economy to continue growing at a rate of about 3%, with inflation in most advanced economies easing gradually
- The US economy has “again proven stronger than anticipated, buoyed by resilient consumption and robust business and government spending.” US GDP growth is expected to slow in the second half of this year, but remain stronger than forecast in January
- The euro area is projected to gradually recover from current weak growth. Global oil prices have moved up, averaging about $5 higher than the Bank assumed in its January Monetary Policy Report
- Since January, bond yields have increased but, with narrower corporate credit spreads and sharply higher equity markets, overall financial conditions have eased
- The Bank has revised up its forecast for global GDP growth to 2.75% in 2024 and about 3% in 2025 and 2026
- Inflation continues to slow across most advanced economies, although progress will likely be bumpy. Inflation rates are projected to reach central bank targets in 2025
Outlook
Based on the outlook, Governing Council said it decided to hold the Bank’s policy rate at 5% and to continue to “normalize” the Bank’s balance sheet. It also noted that while inflation is still too high and risks remain, CPI and core inflation have eased further in recent months.
The Council said it will be looking for evidence that this downward momentum is sustained. Governing Council is particularly watching the “evolution of core inflation,” and continues to focus on the balance between demand and supply in the economy, inflation expectations, wage growth, and corporate pricing behaviour.
As it has said consistently over the past year, the Bank will remain “resolute in its commitment to restoring price stability for Canadians.”
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